2020年1月26日 星期日

美股形勢凶險


美股道指於1月17日見頂,過去那星期,以週線圖形成了第一支陰燭。馬田剛出文分析:「市場多數認為受武漢肺炎影響,其實與ECM完美地吻合。如果1月27日那星期繼續下滑,那麼2月初亦應該會進一步下跌。上周道指曾做出最低位28819.43,如果未來一周做出比此位更低之點數,意味後市極淡。」

技術分析上有所謂「三隻烏鴉」,除了可以每日收市計,亦可以每週收市計,後者當然會形成一波更長時間的調整。如果未來一周及2月第一個星期都形成陰燭,就是這種形態了,大家密切留意。

15 則留言:

Frederick Cheung 提到...

雖然星期四做唔到三隻烏鴉,但星期五穿頭破腳,都係淡既訊號

linhonching 提到...

上周五道指收於28819.43,但我找了一遍,都找不到這個數,星期五不是收28,989.73嗎?最近最低好像是28859.90

pisquare 提到...

A lower closing for this week should result in a further decline into February. Last week's closing were
1. 919306 NASDAQ Composite, (Closed 2020-01-24, 9314.91) Failed
2. 326843 Cash S&P500, and (Closed 2020-01-24, 3295.47) Failed
3. 28819.43 in the Dow. (Closed 2020-01-24, 28989.73) Failed
Closing below the previous week low will be very bearish. We can move back to retest the top of the previous channel.

馬田原文, 28819.43 和其他兩個數. 都是指1/13 那星期最低位. 馬田那句 "Last week's closing" 應打漏了 "LOW". 因跟著那句,"closing below the previous week (1/13) low will be very bearish"

這文章是收市前POST, 當日最低位是, 28,843.31. 當時跌勢甚急, 所以馬田有此警告.

其後, 這星期1/20, 三大指數收市都沒有低收於上星期1/13.
小弟認為還要看看今個星期數據. 請各位指教.

pisquare 提到...

5. Thereafter, exceeding this high (Jan 2020 High, ) would then imply a rally into 2022 with a correct into 2023.

來緊,這一月最後一個星期非常最要.

gogoldjoe 提到...

謝pisquare解答

gogoldjoe 提到...

對的,28819.43是以1月13日-1月17日五個交易日計最低位,是於1月13日做出來,因為週線圖計,每條燭都會計最高及最低點。

gogoldjoe 提到...

小弟已修改了文章

linhonching 提到...

謝謝大家!

5. Thereafter, exceeding this high (Jan 2020 High, ) would then imply a rally into 2022 with a correct into 2023.

請這句是在馬田的私人blog嗎?在哪裏找到的?

linhonching 提到...

謝謝大家!


5. Thereafter, exceeding this high (Jan 2020 High, ) would then imply a rally into 2022 with a correct into 2023.


請問這句是在那裏找到的?馬田的私人blog嗎?

pisquare 提到...

回答 linhonching 師兄. 是私人BLOG. POSTED ON 1/19/20.

Frederick Cheung 提到...

pisquare兄是否有訂閱Pro Membership或更高階?

pisquare 提到...

小弟訂了最高階.

Frederick Cheung 提到...

難怪我沒有讀卨第5點,謝謝分享

linhonching 提到...

thx,明白了

Unknown 提到...

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