Just like Benjamin Franklin said, "If you would not be forgotton as soon as you are dead and rotten, either write something worth reading or do something worth writing."
小學筆業 good. Wouldn't need to waste 20+ years on so-called education that if you talk about learning the content, you can learn it in 5 years, and if you talk about making friends, you can easily make like-minded friends in the real world.
I am speaking as someone who graduated from university with first honor.
I used to manage forums. And in forums if you allow anonymous people to leave messages, you often get bullshit, because if someone does not even bother to sign up, you can tell how much "heart" they actually have in having meaningful discussions.
Gold remains vulnerable to a collapse although not instantly. A monthly closing beneath 1532 will signal that a drop to the mid-1100 zone is likely. The Goldbugs have already been banning together to try to make sure no one listens to anything I have to say. They remain bent of BUY AND HOLD and are against the idea of trading. If gold declines, it is a plot rather than the absence of analysis. They respond no different than any other group who try to shut down everything that disagrees with their views the same as government. As they say, the truth will set you free, but first it will piss you off.
Unfortunately, the simple fact is gold has rallied for 13 years. The Goldbugs have sold gold to just about everyone who would listen. Instead of helping people survive, It is all about desperately trying to keep the balloon inflated and sell even more to the same people. The Japanese tried that too – it failed. The object is to go with the flow. Stop trying to dictate to the market and you will survive. There is a time and place for everything. Gold is just not ready for prime time right now. The German elections are in September and most will sit on their hands waiting for Merkel to be reelected. If she is not,Europe will fall apart and then watch gold.
Markets decline when everyone is long, they start to sell, and there is no bid. You simply run out of energy to keep moving in the same direction. Our Energy Model is still showing an overbought position of $332. The peak was September 2011. The entire rally began when our Energy Model turned negative -$30 in April 2010. Gold thus began a rally at the start of the Sovereign Debt Crisis with Greece that month. The correlation of gold to the Sovereign Debt Crisis is 86%. The biggest obstacle right now is the targeting of the gold market by all governments. Gold will remain the alternative underground medium of exchange, but never the above ground monetary unit. Our biggest danger is the government will just seize records of everyone that sells gold and start their trace. They have already imposed regulations on refiners demanding they track the movement of all gold. France has shut down the gold market prohibiting the purchase of gold for cash. Governments NEED money and they will be very nasty before this whole thing collapses..They just will not go quietly into the light.
We can see that gold has remained confined within the Downtrend Channel on the daily level. It is not likely that we will break the 1532 area just yet. Technical support lies above that area slightly suggesting that we will see a test of that region followed by a bounce. While gold is tired after rallying 13 years, it does not appear to be a bubble. Instead, it will work its way to support. However, the market will have to shake the tree and force a number of people to liquidate before a rally emerges in 2015 into 2021-2022..
The weekly level also shows that gold has remained in an orderly decline so far remaining within the breakline channel. Without a further collapse in the Sovereign Debt Crisis immediately, gold is treading water. It still appears that capital will shift into private assets and this will aid the rise in interest rates in 2013 into 2015. However, it will be the turn in the Economic Confidence Model in 2015 that will bring the curtain down and gold should then rally to new highs going into 2021.
.jpg)
78 則留言:
祝Jo兄及大家金銀滿屋，萬事如意，身心康泰！
Jimmy
祝各金甲逢凶化吉，大步檻過~
Sammy
祝想等價跌落1500樓下才入貨的人，願望成真！不必再等到發毛！
點解今次買咁少ga
祝joe兄及各位身體健康,金銀常滿
冇錢law！有錢自然會買多d！我地呢d窮人，有少少已經好開心！知足常樂！話知佢天水圍樓價升50%，唔使擔心，唔使日日睇市，開心過新年！
水不在深，有龍則靈！
金不在多，少亦心足！
祝JOE兄新年快樂!!!!!
除非興趣係研究投資，否則，做自己野真係最開心，何必煩惱投資，投資就投資在自己身上吧。費沙將資本一般化，定義能夠產生現金流的東西就是資本。現代金融學亦以此為基礎，趁年輕，為何投資自己身上，將來產生更多現金流。
點解今次買咁少ga
你不如問點解貼開嗰D唔再貼仲好啦!
冇錢law！有錢自然會買多d！我地呢d窮人，有少少已經好開心！知足常樂！話知佢天水圍樓價升50%，唔使擔心，唔使日日睇市，開心過新年！
水不在深，有龍則靈！
金不在多，少亦心足！
Joe兄,此言差矣! 做金甲亦要識走位的! 小弟於過去一年離開了黃金市場,亦賺了近兩成回報~~ 幕後的計畫是斷數十年去佈署的,盲目而無腦地揸住黃金去等,既無息收,仲要蝕倉租,試問人生有幾多個十年!
唔係呀，兩成收益都夠膽講？我層樓升左40%都冇面講啦！
同黃金比，係咪好D呀。
貴重物業小弟都有~~ 仲升多過五成添！
過去一年希臘債券百幾厘，咁好息口你唔買？如果買左就唔使得果兩成咁鬼少啦！
比今年咪係咯，咁比十年呢？人生唔係要以十年計咩？
我屋企係大陸既投資升佐5000%，吹，邊個唔識？哈哈......
租兄唔好咁爐嘈la, 都過年咯, 咪由得D人亂講law! 佢放唒D金咪由得佢law!
恭喜發財, 身體健康, 萬事勝意 !
恭禧發財！祝願所有金甲：身心康泰，萬事如事，財運亨通，大吉大利！
吹，都唔係個個識......
就算吹得起，都唔代表吹得好同吹得叻嫁...
不過點吹都好，最緊要自己覺得舒服就得啦...哈哈......
jo兄，龍馬精神，金銀滿屋呀
edwin luk
金玉满堂，万事如意
Jo兄,
咁快又一年，祝蛇年合家平安，身心康泰。
係呢，你本書的出版進度如何？
寫了三章！剛剛拍攝了一系列金幣銀幣相片，過完年仲要影！
佢地想係七月書展出，盡力啦！
學人出書？
哈哈....小弟邊有資格出書！只係集合其他金甲意見輯印成書。希望非金甲退市，好等金價跌落1500樓下，唔好等某些人等到蚊訓！zzzzzzzz.....
原來是金甲討論的精華合輯！哈哈，看來出版後，jo兄唔多唔少會在168被金甲師兄們怨兩句...唱旺晒攪到更難買實貨，嘩哈哈哈
>> 希望非金甲退市，好等金價跌落1500樓下，唔好等某些人等到蚊訓！
係呀係呀, 做人要有公德心, 冇信心千祈唔好買, 數量有限, 留返俾真正有需要的人買 !!
KK
Gordon,Kk,
小弟講下笑姐，以上只是說給某些人聽！
某人開始發皮四，留下沒意思的留言，特此刪除！
期待joe兄作品面世......
期待Jo兄將所有思維整理出黎既作品。
講真，就算係英文書，咁多年專講金銀都已少得可憐 (最經典都要數Mike Maloney既<>)
華語書就更加唔使講。
同類形既華語書應該絕無僅有吧? 小弟相信只要Marketing做得好，Jo兄大作好有機會成為經典。
Just like Benjamin Franklin said, "If you would not be forgotton as soon as you are dead and rotten, either write something worth reading or do something worth writing."
唔記得html tag會搞到D字show唔到...
係 Mike Maloney "Guide to Investing in Gold and Silver"
我只係小學筆業，哈哈....
竟有人大學筆業但傻到以為影響一個金銀卜可以左右黃金供應，足之等1500樓下等足兩年仍未到，資金苦無出路，貪息又冇膽買希臘債券，惟有老作有20%回報！
各位知唔知香港貿易場即將出的百週年五兩條?知唔知幾時出?
金桑子
小學筆業 good.
Wouldn't need to waste 20+ years on so-called education that if you talk about learning the content, you can learn it in 5 years, and if you talk about making friends, you can easily make like-minded friends in the real world.
I am speaking as someone who graduated from university with first honor.
请问有168的link吗？
http://www.inv168.com/phpBB3/viewtopic.php?f=21&t=55224
congrats! Jo 兄！好高興見到將興趣、知識發陽光大與衆分享！
黃金牛皮正是買入好時機, 可以慢慢儲 !
實金應該也是家庭儲備之一 !
外國人以為中國人買咗好多實金實銀, 其實只有少數人有遠見 !
好多人要等到大眾去搶時才會去搶買 !
就如樓市一樣, 在高位突然好多人須要買樓 !
Joe,
我昨晚睇見 Martin Amstrong 的網誌, 佢話美元美股會強一排, 但 2014年可能會發生亞洲東北戰, 一係南北韓戰, 一係中國日本戰, 到時美元和黃金都會升 ! 美元要到 2016年才會玩完 !
所以 2013年是儲實金年 !
只要買的是實金, 而只用閒錢買 !
http://armstrongeconomics.com/
如果真是打仗, 到時樓股都會跌, 所以大家小心啦 !
網上資訊, 須自己去分析, 唔係叫你信到足 XD !
不過可以用來預計來緊經濟變化, 就可以賺到錢, 所以我乜都睇的 XD !
以為影響一班網友，可以左右金市，好傻！如果占星術真係咁有用，提出者應該發左達啦，仲使乜上來睇小弟講費話？
有人好鬼慘，兩年前已看金價跌落1500樓下，但遲遲未見，心急如焚！
大家仲記唔記得去年6月有一則關於Jim叔金價見$1100的爭論，當時貼文者亦是給我刪除以上四個留言的同一人！
扮鬼扮馬，以為人地唔知，低能到爆！如果係光明正大就唔用匿名啦！
傻仔可能當時真係一心等阿Jim叔的$1100預測實現，結果等了快九個月，仲離目標價好遠！哈哈......
有人話計劃了十幾年，就係為左今年有20%增長！又話信占卜仲實際，又計劃又信占卜，占卜占足十幾年，就係為左今年20%增長.....簡值精神分裂！
Joe兄，你變左，你旭d就刪除別人留言，我講既說話係絕對有價值，係坊間所有書籍都無講既真知卓見，難道你唔記得你當初開薄落既宗旨咩? 你係想原汁原味地記錄整條金甲之路既所有留言給你的下一代看呀，占星無用? 你信易經嗎? 唔知你知唔知易經都係來自西方，校忠做得好地地點解會辭職，歷來都係做到死嫁，況且就算年老又唔係病到起唔到身，日常既事務根本就可以下放給其他紅衣主教做，你有聽過校忠預言嗎? http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%95%99%E7%9A%87%E9%A2%84%E8%A8%80
入面d詩句根本就係占星星象，幕後都係跟住占星黎行事，中國人所講既天人相應、天人合一其實就係講呢一樣野，要成就一件大事，係要睇住個天既意思黎做，佢地係刻意安排符合詩句既人去做校忠，你估真係由紅衣主教選出黎嫁? 簡單d講即係自我實現預言，佢地點解咁急要換屆，其實就係幕後想發動世界大戰，兌現最後一任校忠會帶領世人打哈米吉多頓大戰! 公佈辭職那一日是我們的年初二，是個大破日(中國曆法和占星其實是同源)，玄學家都叫大家唔好係初二開年，選這一破日亦是為對應此宗教將會交入最後一界，從而步向滅亡。
以上呢段留言應該好快會消失，希望各網友能有緣睇得見!
咁既留言我咪唔會刪咯！
但請問世界上宗教眾多，為何要信占星？而不信聖經，或可蘭經？
聖經中亦有大量預言式的啟示錄，而聖經中多番提及金銀的重要，例如上帝的約櫃是用黃金製造，連上帝衡量古代奴隸的計價單位亦是白銀！
出盡九牛二虎之力，占叔出過場，而家輪到宗教，其實我亦十分有興趣，之前於168就同某師兄展開很長關於聖經的福音與罪的討論！
首先我想問，點解睇金要用中國天人合一，或西洋占星術，而不用被萬千信徒視為金科玉律的《聖經》？《聖經》能流傳萬世，並且得到眾多信徒，必有其大智慧。
你所引的所謂預言，最後一項是，最後將有上帝大審判，你如此相信預言，還搞甚麼投資？人最終都會經過審判，你還追求20%增長，不是應該用心去積聚天國的才富，例如將20%增長獻給教會，將來在天國有個美好將來，不是比當下追求人世財富更重要嗎？
最後的預言是這樣的：
「在對神聖羅馬教會的最後迫害中，（教會）將由羅馬人伯多祿所統治。他將在苦難中牧養主的羔羊。當這些完結後，七山之城將會被毀滅，令人敬畏的天主將審判他的子民。完結。」
我們不知何時有審判，但根據此預言，再結合聖經，所有人，無論於大審判或之前死去，最後都會經歷上帝的審判。
好多傳說, 我都會當故仔聽, 而在過程中, 睇下有乜野實現咗, 乜野只是吹水 !
王冠一又好, 羅傑斯又好, 李居明又好, 聖經又好, 宋鴻兵又好, 一定要自己理性去分析 !
12月21日已証明不是世界未日, 但來緊還要睇下有乜野事會真的發生 !
世界在變動中, 好多野唔會再好似以前咁不變, 只是睇歐美銀行蒸發的財富, 不會就咁返來的 !
所以好多人還以為可以好似以前咁炒股炒樓致富才是在發夢 !
I used to manage forums. And in forums if you allow anonymous people to leave messages, you often get bullshit, because if someone does not even bother to sign up, you can tell how much "heart" they actually have in having meaningful discussions.
I always support banning anonymous comments
又潛水了！各位明白點解我要刪某人留言啦！
仲話自已講的是「係坊間所有書籍都無講既真知卓見」，笑鬼死！《聖經》唔係書？聖經中冇預言？如果連寫《教宗預言》者係聖經信徒，咁聖經的預言不是比《教宗預言》更有致高無上的權威性嗎？
信《教宗預言》的世界大戰，而不信《聖經》的未日審判，走去追求投資回報，方天下之大謬！
Jo兄小弟有個小學雞的想法，如果可以穿越時空回到過去，除左實金，真係唔知帶什麼東西去好，所以我選擇想信你，積小成多。還有要多謝你無私的分享
每次轉角位也都如此、有些少懷念指數兄。
哈哈....JL,你的想法絕不小學雞，起碼比起上面果位相信教宗就快係最後一個，將有末日大審判，但又上來同小弟講投資的人兄有見識。
人類都快滅亡了，哈米吉多頓大戰都快要打了，仲投乜鬼野資？梗係拿拿入教侍奉主啦！
前後人格分裂到呢.....
好懷念指數兄！唔知佢依家點？
講番上面位人兄，(我係咁講，因為實在太好笑喇)，乜野蝦米吉頓大戰，根本概念完全來自聖經啟示錄：
http://rapture32.tripod.com/armageddon.htm
證明我上面講，《教宗預言》的權威不及《聖經》啟示錄，要研究預言，最關鍵不是乜野教宗預言，而係啟示錄。
想請問有哪些投資有世界末日慨念成份的呢?
易經來自西方啊! 唔知你知唔知? 你信易經嗎?
覆遲一陣就話人潛水，你老味唔撚使訓咩，你話好既野點解無流傳落黎，流傳左啦，不過係上層流傳之嘛，點解中世紀d女巫會比教庭d人燒死，就係因為佢地掌握左占星既奧秘，所以先至會比人滅口，據小弟所知，煩弟肛係有一個秘密占星圖書館，就係收集左過去幾百年既占星秘笈，每一代都搵d有潛質既神父去學，係師徒制，定時定候要考試，寫出黎既論文有個board去審核嫁，佢地對外就話占星係魔鬼野，背後就自己搵人秘傳，成本聖經包括啟示錄，我夠膽講根本係根據占星星象黎寫，好似摩西大駡婦嬬拜金牛，其實是因為當時是已轉到雙魚座年代，金牛座年代已過，要拜都拜雙魚啦(這是歲差運動，每星座行約2200年)，後期耶穌既徵號都係2條魚黎，你有睇過時代精神嗎? 入面就清楚講到，耶穌出生於冬至後3日的來源典故，根本就係天文占星野黎，又好像天使，其實都係按照每粒星既特性黎寫，選宗教之王尚且要跟占星黎行，那選貨幣之王你估下又需唔需要呢? 黃金擺明是被人操控的，如果幕後唔想佢升，就算打幾大既仗都係唔會升嫁!
大家都知金價俾人操控, 所以須靠民眾力量 ! 如果金銀價去到牛市三期, 連街邊人都叫人買時, 你想壓低金價都難啦 !
我暫時只見零星人問, 買金好唔好 ?
答 : 1)買紙金啦, 唔怕儲存轉身易 ! 2)金無息派, 買股票啦 !
80%投資錢, 還是在炒股 ! 買實金銀的得1% !
原來是陰謀論。。。現在貨幣之皇不是美元嗎? 應該也是有心有力人仕在半世紀前跟隨占星術捨棄前任貨幣之皇英鎊而選出來的。
呀、歲差運動不是两千二年一轉嗎?
唔使講咁多野，一句講晒，你咁信《教宗預言》，咁教宗預言會末日大審判，那又信唔信？
http://zh.wikipedia.org/zh/%E5%88%86%E9%BB%9E%E6%AD%B2%E5%B7%AE
歲差運動確是2000年一轉，小弟記錯左，另外Joe兄，小弟已唔想晒力去打咁多野，時間是可証明一切的~~最後，小弟想澄清，小弟從沒有用Jim叔名義發表文章，你認錯人了，以及小弟是從2012年初沽金的，並不是2年前，再講丫，你成日幻想小弟想在你個薄落唱淡金價入貨，你估你個薄落係世界論壇咩，唱兩句就可唱跌d金~
土地神都唔問，去占星？
拎住幾磅，甚至乎幾公斤嘅黃金，
就可以避免今年，香港勢必「輸剩條命返屋企」嘅慘況。
近日金價回落，又是入貨的好機會！
良
附：今年年初二，車公給香港的簽文：
九五簽．下簽
駟馬高車出遠途，今朝赤腳返回廬；
莫非不第人還井，亦似經營乏本歸。
解曰：宜慎小人．凡事不利．
斷曰：家宅頗豐．占病防送終．自身頗悲．出入無功．婚姻不合．求財虧本．
先吉後凶．損失慘重．赤腳有因．入歧欠聰．
自身：困境 財運：會破財 訴訟：破財不順
行人：未至 生育：未得身孕 出行：會有意外
事業：不順 姻緣：恐會離異 家宅：是非多
搬遷：不宜遠遷 疾病：小心血光
小弟做CDROM多,不過有小小意見
1] 呢到人少少,點解討論吾開名,要匿名呢?有云君子坦蕩蕩.事無不可對人言.
2]那日子，那時辰，沒有人知道，連天上的使者也不知道，子也不知道，惟獨父知道」(馬太福音24:36)
耶穌在橄欖山上坐著、門徒暗暗的來說、請告訴我們、甚麼時候有這些事．你降臨和世界的末了、有甚麼預兆呢。
耶穌回答說、你們要謹慎、免得有人迷惑你們。馬太福音24:3~4
上帝用左一章寫出埃及記,兄上小心為妙
Ronald兄是教徒？
小弟絶對體諒，有人說成本聖經都是占星術，豈非連上帝、耶穌都都占星行事？基督教有許多神學論文指出占星術的謬誤！
而如果聖經真的是依據星象寫，寫聖經者一定很信占星，可聖經又多番指責占星是邪說，有違上帝教導，莫非占星術自我否定占星術？
黃金唔知會唔會跌到落一千蚊呢，跌到落一千蚊我都入市買
而家金價跌得 USD1610 左右... 是否入貨好時機?
(1) 9999 實金條 (100g)
(2) 打算給一至兩年投資期
請指點
Joe兄，不留名係小弟既風格，有留名既人亦不見得光明磊落，至於你問那設計天體運行的東西豈不是很邪惡？ 其實自然界既法則就係弱肉強食，即係一個殺字，古往今來都如是，聖經亦多次記載上帝用洪水、天火黎殺人，至於講到邪惡與不邪惡，根本就係由人去做分別~
每粒星在占星既角度都代表住某樣野，例如財富、愛情、災禍，傳下傳下就變左財神、愛神、衰神、各式各樣既天使，某些人就利用左人既弱點去創造宗教，如果佢老實同你講，d神呀、天使呀其實都係d星星黎嫁姐，咁你仲信唔信呢? 耶穌都只不過係2013年前左右出生，同占星既歷史比較仲差好遠嫁，小弟並非想挑起宗教駡戰，呢d全部只係小弟既見解，不喜勿插~~
小弟在基督教家庭中長大,聽得多.不過星期日沒返教會,而且做吾到聖經講信靠神,應該稱不上教徒了.
基督教,天主教,東正教,猶太教同出一源,影響人數可能佔地球人口6成不止,所以聖經有細讀過下
要了解末世,應該要細讀經典聖經啟示錄了吧,其他經得起時間考驗再算吧
轉了新章，免留言過長！
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2013/01/26/8652/
Gold – What Now
Posted on January 26, 2013
Gold remains vulnerable to a collapse although not instantly. A
monthly closing beneath 1532 will signal that a drop to the mid-1100
zone is likely. The Goldbugs have already been banning together to try to make sure no one listens to anything I have to say. They remain
bent of BUY AND HOLD and are against the idea of trading. If gold declines, it is a plot rather than the absence of analysis. They
respond no different than any other group who try to shut down
everything that disagrees with their views the same as government. As they say, the truth will set you free, but first it will piss you off.
Unfortunately, the simple fact is gold has rallied for 13 years. The
Goldbugs have sold gold to just about everyone who would listen.
Instead of helping people survive, It is all about desperately trying to keep the balloon inflated and sell even more to the same people.
The Japanese tried that too – it failed. The object is to go with the flow. Stop trying to dictate to the market and you will survive. There is a time and place for everything. Gold is just not ready for prime time right now. The German elections are in September and most will sit on their hands waiting for Merkel to be reelected. If she is not,Europe will fall apart and then watch gold.
Markets decline when everyone is long, they start to sell, and there
is no bid. You simply run out of energy to keep moving in the same
direction. Our Energy Model is still showing an overbought position of $332. The peak was September 2011. The entire rally began when our Energy Model turned negative -$30 in April 2010. Gold thus began a rally at the start of the Sovereign Debt Crisis with Greece that month. The correlation of gold to the Sovereign Debt Crisis is 86%. The biggest obstacle right now is the targeting of the gold market by all governments. Gold will remain the alternative underground medium
of exchange, but never the above ground monetary unit. Our biggest
danger is the government will just seize records of everyone that
sells gold and start their trace. They have already imposed
regulations on refiners demanding they track the movement of all gold. France has shut down the gold market prohibiting the purchase of gold for cash. Governments NEED money and they will be very nasty before this whole thing collapses..They just will not go quietly into the
light.
We can see that gold has remained confined within the Downtrend Channel on the daily level. It is not likely that we will break the
1532 area just yet. Technical support lies above that area slightly suggesting that we will see a test of that region followed by a bounce. While gold is tired after rallying 13 years, it does not appear to be a bubble. Instead, it will work its way to support. However, the market will have to shake the tree and force a number of people to liquidate before a rally emerges in 2015 into 2021-2022..
The weekly level also shows that gold has remained in an orderly
decline so far remaining within the breakline channel. Without a
further collapse in the Sovereign Debt Crisis immediately, gold is
treading water. It still appears that capital will shift into private assets and this will aid the rise in interest rates in 2013 into 2015. However, it will be the turn in the Economic Confidence Model in 2015 that will bring the curtain down and gold should then rally to new highs going into 2021.
女要有，以小弟既財才又點會無呢，但要做個負責任既好男人就好難，好似charen上晝就出左世，你夠膽死下晝先出現，call爆機都唔覆，扮大禹治水，三過其門而不入，其實你只不過係一個爛賭二黎咋，我就真係唔信無左你會唔掂，做CS攞2個鐘頭time off都話唔得，搞到charen缺少左6、7個鐘頭父愛，所以依家成日就口水多過茶同經常開分身鳩up有關都未定。
張貼留言