1) Silver does rise/drop more than gold in terms of percentage. If gold in the future is money and silver is not, then gold should rise more than silver. But since rumor has it that certain CB will announce accumulation of silver in the near future, there is a higher chance for silver to be money. Countries such as China/Mexico etc has lots of silver. 2) As in 1 silver is use as money in China and in Mexico, and in other civilizations, some even consider silver more expensive than gold. Copper has been use as money in China, however due to the fact that copper can corrode (silver can oxidize) it might not be the best form of money. 3) There are more industrial uses for silver than gold, however this is only the case because silver is cheaper than gold. If gold is cheaper, industry would prefer gold, since gold is actually better than silver in electronics. If prices of silver/gold continue to rise I am sure another substitute could be found. 4) I agree with you, there is higher price fluctuation for silver, does one could earn more in terms of price/dollar. However one should hold both gold and silver, in case only gold is consider as money. Since the elite does hold all or almost all the gold in the world (it is concentrate in certain areas). Silver on the other hand is all over the place making it hard to control.
3) There are more industrial uses for silver than gold, however this is only the case because silver is cheaper than gold. ------------------------------------- Joking:) For copper: There are more industrial uses for copper than silver & gold, however this is only the case because copper is cheaper than silver & gold.
For steel: There are more industrial uses for steel than copper & silver & gold, however this is only the case because steel is cheaper than copper & silver & gold.
17 則留言:
今日去中銀買多12條銀條,短期內不會再買銀,但會買金...
Eric
好像不用錢買似的，真替文主開心。:D
這個位很好呀！半年後，一定不止這個價！
12條差不多要47800！購買時情況如何？
有個阿伯買金, 前邊有個女人買左幾條銀條....
Eric
K 記賣「收藏幣」，差價高到嚇死人。
路人
Yesterday afternoon, when I started waiting at the queue, it was $3985. Half hour later when it was my turn, it raised to $4005!
Yan
這裡有位朋友貼上一張1500兩銀條的圖片﹐很觸目﹗可見近兩三年很多人對銀的前景非常樂觀。因此想跟大家比較一下金和銀的投資價值。
金和銀同是貴金屬。貴在那裡呢﹖希罕﹖鑽石﹐白金﹐鈀 (Palladium)﹐銠 (Rhodium)﹐ 希土﹐也屬希罕。為何只有黃金和白銀受投資者追捧呢﹖可見金銀不單只貴在希罕﹐而是貴在兩者歷史性的貨幣角色。而多了人看好銀的原因有如下幾個﹕
(1) 銀的價錢比金低﹐可以博它將來升幅比金大﹐回報更可觀。
(2) 金價已經太貴了﹐小戶買不起﹐只好以銀代之﹐因此銀更多人追捧。
(3) 銀比金有更多工業需求﹐更有用。相對金除了作保值之用﹐沒有其他用途。
(4) 由於以上幾點﹐銀是以小博大的最好發財工具﹐有高槓桿效應。
讓我們分析一下以上幾點。
(1) 和 (2) 的邏輯有問題。根據這個思維﹐若是銀價受追捧而成功被炒上﹐那麼當價錢貴了﹐又輪到要追捧黃銅的時候嗎﹖而銅貴了又輪到炒鐵的時候嗎﹖是否鑽石貴了又輪到收藏玻璃的時候嗎﹖
試想一下﹐在流動資金泛濫的今天﹐誰的購買力更能發揮作用﹖數以十至百萬億的電子財富﹐還是節衣宿食的小投資者的錢呢﹖對龐大的資金﹐像中央銀行一樣﹐只有黃金才可以容納他們。銀實在不能容納這麼龐大的資金。靠小買家追捧的銀不可能跑贏受龐大資金推動的金。
很多銀甲蟲都喜歡拿1979-80年銀價曾升上US$50作今後銀價上升的理據。但我們不要忘記當時的大環境與今天有所不同。亨特兄弟 (Hunt Brothers) 於1973年開始集中財力嘗試壟斷白銀。當時美國是禁止國民擁有黃金的。自1933年至1975年﹐在美國擁有黃金﹐或買賣黃金﹐是非法的﹐可被判監的。所以1973年﹐亨特兄弟無其他選擇﹐只可以買銀不可以買金﹐因為當時黃金還是不能觸碰的。1975年美國終於取消了黃金禁令。今天不會再有亨特兄弟出現了。
其實從這件事件可以看到黃金的真正貨幣地位。美國政府沒有沒收銀和禁止銀的買賣﹐足以證明銀不是貨幣。政府不怕銀會威脅法定貨幣的地位。但政府卻很害怕黃金!!!
(3) 正因為銀比金有更多工業需求﹐就足以令銀失去它作為貨幣的地位。黃金之所以被視為最佳的商品貨幣﹐正就是因為它又希罕又沒有任何工業用途﹐所以價格不受工業需求的影響。作為真正貨幣的首要條件就是要有穩定性﹐供應和價值都不應有大波幅的變動。
總結來說﹐作為分散投資策略﹐買銀也無可厚非。但如果大手買入博小資本贏大錢的話﹐就要認真想清楚。
FateAndTheFuture果然一針見血, 好!
RE: FateAndTheFuture
1) Silver does rise/drop more than gold in terms of percentage. If gold in the future is money and silver is not, then gold should rise more than silver. But since rumor has it that certain CB will announce accumulation of silver in the near future, there is a higher chance for silver to be money. Countries such as China/Mexico etc has lots of silver.
2) As in 1 silver is use as money in China and in Mexico, and in other civilizations, some even consider silver more expensive than gold. Copper has been use as money in China, however due to the fact that copper can corrode (silver can oxidize) it might not be the best form of money.
3) There are more industrial uses for silver than gold, however this is only the case because silver is cheaper than gold. If gold is cheaper, industry would prefer gold, since gold is actually better than silver in electronics. If prices of silver/gold continue to rise I am sure another substitute could be found.
4) I agree with you, there is higher price fluctuation for silver, does one could earn more in terms of price/dollar. However one should hold both gold and silver, in case only gold is consider as money. Since the elite does hold all or almost all the gold in the world (it is concentrate in certain areas). Silver on the other hand is all over the place making it hard to control.
Eric: 請問你在哪個分行買銀條? 排隊半小時屬正常情況嗎? 謝謝.
Brian
Brian : 中國銀行永安集團大廈分行,我沒排隊,中銀致電通知我有貨....
Eric
3) There are more industrial uses for silver than gold, however this is only the case because silver is cheaper than gold.
-------------------------------------
Joking:)
For copper:
There are more industrial uses for copper than silver & gold, however this is only the case because copper is cheaper than silver & gold.
For steel:
There are more industrial uses for steel than copper & silver & gold, however this is only the case because steel is cheaper than copper & silver & gold.
其實金也有不少工業用途的
因為金比銀穩定，所以
"黃金之所以被視為最佳的商品貨幣﹐正就是因為它又希罕又沒有任何工業用途﹐所以價格不受工業需求的影響。"
不對哦
金做到既野銀都做到
電器/醫療(anti bacterial) 不過貴4x倍
想問下版主如何收藏這些白銀? 我見銀條無膠套, 不怕讓白銀接觸空氣嗎?
匿名提到...
想問下版主如何收藏這些白銀? 我見銀條無膠套, 不怕讓白銀接觸空氣嗎?
放銀行保險箱....不怕接觸空氣
Eric
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